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Why sensationalize a forecast?

It was very disappointing to see AOPA push out such a blatant sensationalized Tweet and article after the recent Aviator Showcase in Fort Worth, Texas which I attended. To say "A dire weather forecast kept few away..." and "As they often are, the forecast was wrong..." is crass and irresponsible to the general aviation community they serve. It strongly suggests and promulgates the fact that pilots should never trust forecasts since they are almost always wrong. In all actuality, the weather was a bit worse than forecast during part of the morning so it's hard to know what forecast they were using to suggest the forecast was so dire and so wrong.


No matter how good the meteorologist, forecasts are never going to be perfect. Even so, these forecasts can still be incredibly useful. Let's take a look at the weather and the forecast for this October day.

If they were using the official aviation forecast for Fort Worth Alliance Airport (KFTW), they would have looked at the Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF). So on the previous afternoon, for pilots contemplating an arrival the next the morning they would have seen the TAF issued at 3:53 PM on September 30 (shown above)